The Art Of Technical Analysis

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Monday, April 11, 2011

CNIT HOURLY


We had a daily close above the 5ema today, which is bullish short term. Also about to cross up through 9 ema  and 13ema
adx is very high and has been trending up for the last month and a half. it is looking like its topping out, which is good for the bulls. -di line is at 36 right now which is bearish, but if this base at 2.50's can hold we will see it fall as +di line comes to meet it in anticipation of a crossover. I don't have a position here, but thanks for the submission. I will keep updated on this one. i would like to see it develop some strength before starting a position.  If you already have a position i would hold here. Good luck. check back soon. Remember to bookmark my blog.


Sunday, April 10, 2011

Citigroup Daily Chart



Someone submitted a request to look at Citigroup  C. 


Remember, if you want to submit a symbol, go to the tab on the Home page.

We are looking at C on a daily chart going back about 7 months. This stock loves to trade within ranges, making it a little more predictable. Price recently came up off of a very strong level of support going back  2 years. Looks like the bears stepped in right at this 3 month falling resistance, trying to hold it down. This range will continue to get tighter and tighter until something breaks.  Odds are with the bulls on this one. I will look to start a position on the successful breakout and back test of this falling resistance on high volume. If you want to get a little more speculative, you could add, or start a position near trend line support if we fall back down. That would sit near 4.45-.46.
 macd is nearing the 0 line, we have a triple bullish divergence on macd histogram with a successful cross. money flow still positive, near going negative. price closed Friday 2 cents above the 5 ema.

Where are we headed a little longer term?... i'll have that chart up tomorrow.  I will be using a 1 week chart.

PS.  stay posted for the breakout of this falling wedge. i'll be micromanaging that to get the best possible entry price.

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Where do i start?

Hey guys thanks for checking out my blog. I wanted to share with you guys a book that will greatly improve your knowledge of technical analysis.  The authors name is Constance Brown. she is a Chartered Market Technician, and president of aerodynamic investments, inc. she is also a fund manager who has traded global markets for over fifteen years. She is incredibly knowledgeable and very skilled at what she does. Her read is not elementary level, and it would help if you have a basic understanding of the stock market. I would recommend  reading All About Technical Analysis : The Easy Way to Get Started first. If you think that you're headed in the right direction give her other book a shot, Technical Analysis for the Trading Professional. it is a little more complex but the information is priceless!                                         


notice the significance of $ 0.30? go back to late december 2009 connect the lowest lows, passing through mid december 2010....BAM .30.
trendline support to the cent! as you can see, price hates being in the vicinity of that extreme level of support.

i thought that was very significant, due to the utter crazy BS that was going on.

Saturday, April 9, 2011




looks like 4.25-4.30 is possible short term. i would like to see price hold that level. price closed below 5 ema yesterday and looks to close below again today. this signals a pullback. we have had a hell of a ride and a healthy pullback is good. if you want to trim, do it near 5 ema. if not thats fine too. i will be adding at the 4.25 area. its important that that level holds, if not we have some moving averages to support us below that. if those dont hold, we could see trendline support at 3.50 area. thats donward sloping from the recent feb and mar lows.

Tuesday, March 29, 2011



 what you are looking at right now is an hourly chart with many trendlines showing areas that could provide support or resistance. this chart has the macd histogram at bottom. there was a bullish momentum shift on the 21st of march (note the parameters of the histogram). the high of the day was 4.25. we need a daily close above this level to cause the shorts to start covering their positions. if this plays out like i think it will, we could be to 4.60-4.65 short term. chart below will show this

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-BIBo-RAxHB0/TZ..                    reffering to my earlier post from sunday regarding the technical event.
im looking at an hourly chart spanning about 3 months. the indicator im looking at is the macd (not histogram, also note the parameters). the last time it went positive was jan 6 2011. it was on the brink last friday, and finally broke through today around 2:45. the chart below will show this.

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-IAmE0e5589Y/TZ...

last but not least, looking at a daily chart with a 5 day exponential moving average, you will see; we have had the last 8 trading days with a rising 5 ema. 8 out of 8 we have had a daily close price higher than the rising 5 ema. as of today 5 ema is now above all other standard moving averages that one would typically use, for example, 9, 13, 34, 50.
one more thing to note on the daily. macd histogram with standard settings 12 26 9 , has been ticking higher consitantly since march 17. at this point we could be a day to 3 days away from going positive, which combined with all of the other prospects could lead to a sharp increase in share price :) . i am hoping however, that we dont create any gaps, so that they wont run the risk of being backfilled.

take a look at the charts guys, let me know what you think.